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2012年1月27日星期五

OECD Composite Leading Indicator - Another Strong Weapon another than ECRI


If you check out the latest release of CLIs publication, you will find that Euro zone is set on the course of recession and the CLIs reaches the same level of  last recession at the start of 2008.

Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), OECD, January 2012


2012年1月6日星期五

ECRI related

Valuable posts about ECRI showing and its hacking
ECRI Recession Call: Growth Index Virtually Unchanged For 7 Weeks -By Doug Short
A peek inside ECRI's black box - By New Deal Democrat


Accordint to Mr. Siu's commented on US economy outlook can be concluded into THREE indicator below:
a.) US non-farm payrolls change
b.) US housing index
c.) Credit spread (2yr/10yr) / yield-spread / expansion.